2009 is going to be different for Michelle Wie, we know that much. She's finally earned her tour card, so we can't say she doesn't belong on on the LPGA Tour anymore.

But Wie's not out of the woods quite yet. She still needs to get the 1000-pound gorilla off her back and win her first professional event that, at one point in her career, seemed inevitable. These days, it's hard to say a win is a sure thing, especially after a poor 2008 full of missed cuts, DQs and blow-up rounds.

So this week, Wie begins her 2009 campaign in her home state of Hawaii at the SBS Open. She'll play a full schedule in 2009 on the LPGA and by all accounts will spent little-to-no-time messing with the men's professional tours. With Annika Sorenstam out of the picture this year, the LPGA will certainly be hoping Wie can step in and fill that shadow with the help of Lorena Ochoa, Paula Creamer, Morgan Pressel and other young aces.

So here's the million dollar question: Does Michelle Wie breakthrough in 2009 and win her first LPGA event?

I say....NO.

Hate to be a hater, but here's why: She couldn't even win at Q-School in December, where the talent is certainly inferior to the LPGA talent, which keeps getting better. In fact, there are scores of young Michelle Wie's on tour now like Angela Park and last year's emergence of Ji-Yai Shin. This year, another teen is sure to break out with a few wins.

So everyone from Wie Warriors to Wie Haters, cast your vote here as to whether she'll win or not. I'd say the odds are about 50/50, personally.

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