Buick Invitational round two: Is Tiger really going to let this bunch beat him?

With most of my picks lying bloodied and battered below the cut line, it’s time to run up the white flag and surrender to the force of Tiger Woods.

He’s been doing it again, playing with backers and layers alike, never quite doing enough one way or the other to give a clear message. As I suggested, he had a tougher time Friday, let down as usual by his putting. Trouble is, it wasn’t quite tough enough and those on the north course failed to take full advantage. So although I am in profit on my lay with his current price of just over 3, it’s not exactly bank-busting stuff.

No matter. As I scan the top of the leaderboard my head shakes: is Tiger really going to let himself be beaten by this motley collection?

Look back over the last three years and you’ll see Woods invariably drops a 72 on the south course into the mix. If we take his course average as 69 that leaves every possibility he’ll go nine shots under over the next two rounds (think about it).
He is currently seven shots behind the latest rookie sensation, Brandt Snedeker, who, while drawing a lot of admiration for his plucky performance, is looking a bit on the shaky side.

Tiger is only four shots adrift of second placed Charles Howell III (poor south course record), Rich Beem (hasn’t won since 2002 and his 68 on the south Friday is out of character), and Bill Haas and Charlie Wi (they likewise have probably had their best days on the south).

Add to that the fact that Tiger came from seven behind at the half way stage last year to win and that his stats are pretty much in line with last year’s and you have quite a compelling case.

If I see any real dangers they would be Brett Quigley, who has often flattered to deceive, and Troy Matteson, winner of the Frys last year, but again with pretty awful course form.

Cowardice? Moi? Go Tiger - sir.