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Tiger's as much of a lock for The Masters as was Memphis

Tuesday April 8, 2008 | 09:15:36 am 188 words, 1858 views  

I admire and root for Tiger Woods as much as anybody, despite the fact he brushed off my photo request at the Golf Writer’s Annual Dinner the year after he won his first Masters. But despite his recent otherworldly play, he’s as much of a lock for this year’s green jacket as was Memphis for the NCAA hoops championship the other night, despite a nine point lead with little more than two minutes to play.

Sports are all about “what have you done for me lately?” And though he’s been dominating the golf world since mid-summer of last year, here’s one fact that isn’t being bandied about too readily. Tiger is just one-for-five in the last five Masters - a 20 percent success ratio. After back-to-back-jackets in ‘01 and ‘02, he DIDN’T win in ‘03 or ‘04, won in ‘05, and DIDN’T win in ‘06 or ‘07. It’s not that he isn’t the best, and arguably better now than ever before. But the fact is that on any given week, any number of world-class players can step to the forefront in the waning moments and take the title unexpectedly. Just ask John Calipari and his Memphis Tigers.

Permalink 4 comments

Comments, Pingbacks:

Comment from: Jennifer Mario [Member]
Wait a minute with the math, Joel.

If it's relevant that he's won 1 of the last 5 Masters, for a 20% win ratio, why isn't it relevant that he's also won 3 of the last 7? That's a 43% win ratio.
PermalinkPermalink 04/08/08 @ 15:38
Comment from: Joel Zuckerman [Member]
Well, we can play the ratio game all the way back to his pro debut if we want to. So--he's one-for-five the last five years (20%) but three-for-seven over seven years (43%) but only three-for-ten through the last decade (30%) and for his pro career, four-for-eleven (36%) at Augusta. Bottom Line--He's fantastic, his winning percentage is mind-boggling, but the stats bear out the fact that there's an excellent chance that another player other than Tiger will win The Masters this week.
PermalinkPermalink 04/08/08 @ 17:30
Comment from: William [Visitor]
I like the Memphis comment...he is about 50-50 to win.
PermalinkPermalink 04/08/08 @ 20:45
Comment from: LtCol Hope [Visitor]
Don't you feel bad now for picking on a poor handicapped Tiger?
PermalinkPermalink 04/17/08 @ 21:32

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The Vagabond Golfer The Vagabond Golfer

by Joel Zuckerman

Joel Zuckerman, a.k.a. the Vagabond Golfer, has been called "one of the most respected and sought-after golf writers in the Southeast." His golf stories have appeared in more than 100 publications and his books include "Golf in the Lowcountry, "Golf Charms of Charleston," "Misfits on the Links" and the recently-released "A Hacker's Humiliations." He is also in demand as a public speaker. Joel was honored to be selected by the Dye family themselves to write the authorized celebration of Pete Dye's great courses around the world. His next book, "Pete Dye Golf Courses - 50 Years of Inspired Design,"will be released in September, 2008. Visit www.vagabondgolfer.com for more information.